Odds On Racing - Harness Racing

Racing at The Meadowlands
Featuring the Breeders Crown Open Events

Analysis & Handicapping Selection
by The Grey Stable's Tony Lasinski

For Saturday, July 29, 2006

Race One: nw $15,250
(1) O NARUTAC MAGIC solid efforts at Pocono, look for Brennan to brush early from post #1
(7) TOOK HANOVER big 2 move effort in the MPace against Artistic Fella, good spot for the 3 year old and feel he wont get used too hard and will come off the pace looking to next weekend (2) BJS TSUNAMI steps up again after couple of improved efforts, does have some early speed   (3) REAL HANOVER Millers’ choice over #5, drops and threat with trip

Race Two: HAMBLETONIAN ELIMINATION (D)
(3) MR PINE CHIP Smedshammer 1st teamer showed sharp late catching tiring entrymate
(2) GLIDEMASTER impressive 1st start for Blair Burgess, Campbell has raced him off the pace in all his starts but did show sharp early speed as a 2 year old   (5) BLUE MAC LAD almost succeeded in bottoming out the field, expect similar tactics

Race Three: HAMBLETONIAN OAKS ELIMINATION (D)
(2) PASSIONATE GLIDE probably could beat the boys   (5) VELMA K looking for some value in the exacta, owns a good closing 2nd to Corleone Kosmos on 5-14, offered decent close in race she needed in last    (3) NORTHERNPOSSESSION showing speed in her arsenal may wish to control things    (7) ARMBRO DÉJÀ VU showed some speed work in nw2 last two, probably reverts to her previous closing style

Race Four: $75,000--$110,000 CLHC
(7) ATTORNEY GENERAL N fastest NZ bred of all time is clearly sharp for hot Banca barn
(1) ALL HALL steps up off claim, loses Pierce but is sharp and Baggitt and Greenwood teamed up for a win on Wednesday (2) MULCAY N Sears returns and gets needed post relief (4) ALWAYS A THREAT should get the lead early and will quickly relinquish looking for pocket trip
Race Five: HAMBLETONIAN ELIMINATION (D)
(5) CHOCLATIER in what may be the ‘which is the better Credit Winner’ elim … sure hasn’t been smooth sailing in his sophomore campaign but we trust ‘old school’ Doug Ackerman has him ready for his best   (1) HERE COMES HERBIE loses lasix for the Hambletonian which shouldn’t affect him, expect closing effort in typical Smedshammer prep   (6) CAPETOWN HALL another who loses lasix, offered mild rally last week and from this spot may be content to qualify   (4) RC ROYALTY another NY Bred had his problems at Monticello, don’t think he’s as good as the top 3, should be firing out

Race Six: HAMBLETONIAN OAKS ELIMINATION (D)
(1) QUEEN SERENE at least doesn’t have to deal with Passionate Glide in here (3) QUICK CREDIT favorite in all her start this year, offered good late trot off slow fractions on the off track, expect more in only her 4th start    (9) SIMPLE TASK is 4 for 5 this year is compromised by post and Takter will have to leave for early position   (5) SUSIES MAGIC versatile filly offered good late trot in the Del Miller Final

Race Seven: nw $15,250****tough betting race …
(6) FENMAN couple of tough trips lately, one of many droppers   (4) SHARK GESTURE Sears’ choice of 3, decent late close to get a check in the M Pace, making only his 4th start of the year (2) O NARUTAC PAT returns to the BigM after being very sharp out of town for 3 starts, switch to Morgan who may brush early with him   (9) ALLAMERICAN INCA Campbell’s choice of 3 showed good 3 wide close, expect JC to leave for early position

Race Eight: BREEDERS CROWN MARE TROT (D)
(1-ENTRY) PEACEFUL WAY hope she’s dominant so she can tackle the boys in the Nat Ray, TICKET TO GLIDE is coupled again with Peaceful Way is the major closing threat (4) LADY LIFTER looking for perhaps a decent exacta with this one, has prepped out of town at Tioga, last race in very good time, gets major switch to Sears   (3) ECSTATIC Campbell will fire her out again looking for the pocket but she did weaken last week and will look elsewhere to complete the exacta   (4) MYSTICAL SUNSHINE was always a major closing threat but has tailed off, Ryder expect improvement with some changes

Race Nine: nw $12,500
(10) SEEKING THE GOLD N in another tough betting race lets try this dropper who returns to the BigM after some decent efforts at Pocono, owns some early speed and gets Sears in field with no standouts   (4) BAY SIGN steps back up after some confidence builders at Rosecroft last off big 26.2 third quarter but expect this one to be overbet   (5) WESTERN PRINCE scratch sick last week but gets better post and has some back class on these   (7) REYNOLDS HALL beaten fave found it hard to gain in fast last quarter, leaves looking for another pocket trip

Race Ten: BREEDERS CROWN MARE PACE (D)
(3) EASTERN ALLIANCE N was one of our big plays last week, sharp score off 3 wide trip off short layoff, can make her own trip   (6) GLOWING REPORT used hard and tired late on the off track, expect her to leave along with Burning Point   (2) BURNING POINT will be firing early and no doubt Pierce looking for the pocket trip   (5) KG KATRIONA sat-in in 1st BigM start and offered mile late pace, expect Sears to race her off the pace in which she should benefit from some live cover

Race Eleven: BREEDERS CROWN OPEN PACE (D)
(1) LIS MARA Sears has been impressed with this one, will protect the rail looking for garden trip but may have to look elsewhere for value   (3) PONDER we have utmost respect for Bob McIntosh come Breeders Crown time … feeling Campbell goes 1st over thus setting up stablemate (4) STONEBRIDGE REGAL who was a sharp 1st over on the ship-in (7) LEADING X AMPLE was our heavy play in the Haughton Final tired in pocket trip but will revert back to his favorite closing tactics   (2) HOLBORN HANOVER knew he was shipping in sharp for Robinson but surprised us with big effort off fast half, cant discount

Race Twelve: wo $25,000 LT
(4) EYES ON KASSA Sears’ choice left in fast quarter shuffled, closed strongly (9) HOP SING disappointed in BC elims and may be feeling effects of long tough campaign   (10) LANDMARK HALL draws back outside which helps his price and dangerous if Brennan leaves for position
(7) FRANCAM game uncovered effort, threat with trip

Race Thirteen: BREEDERS CROWN OPEN TROT (D)
(5) SAND VIC content to qualify from the back of the pack on the off track, hard to go against Sears/Smedshammer in these races, may see his unused speed (1) ELEGANT MAN faded after aggressive brush attempt, Cat keeps him up close throughout from the rail   (8) CORLEONE KOSMOS fast developing 4 year old is a major closing threat but may have too far to come   (3) SIR PERSEVERENCE showed some of his closing potential in last, don’t think he can win but certainly can get into the exacta at a price

Race Fourteen: nw $27,500
(1) BLISSED OUT gets major post relief after showing good late pace after the shuffle, could cap off big night for Brian Sears   (4) RODDYS BAGS AGAIN drops from last seen here, Gingras may elect to fire him out    (8) LIFE IS A CABARET not involved from post #9 in the Open, drops and gets Morgan   (2) MR DELITE another dropper after 26.4 close off good cover trip, may have to go 1st over